D1 #2 Davison vs D3 #1 Dundee

103: Andrew Chambal (Davison) vs Austin Fietz (Dundee)
Looking like Logan Brown might not be in for this week 1 battle, but Dundee still rolls out a very good freshman in Austin Fietz.  Davison just happens to have one of the elite 103 lbers in the country.  The experience and skillset of Chambal will likely be a little too much for Fietz in his Viking debut.  Look for Chambal to pick up the major.
DAVISON 4, DUNDEE 0

112: Steven Garty (Davison) vs Gabe Massingill (Dundee)
There’s a chance we could see Fietz up at 112 and Massingill at 103 but that’d be a tall order for both.  Massingill, also a freshman, will have his hands full with Garty, who was an All-Stater at 112 a season ago.  He’s tough on top and will be looking to pick up a fall for the Cardinals.
DAVISON 10, DUNDEE 0

119: Jaron Wilson (Davison) vs Tyler Swiderski (Dundee)
A couple very good underclassmen going at it at 119.  Wilson was strong a year ago as a freshman, placing 8th in the state.  Swiderski is one of the top incoming freshmen in the state and has a ton of experience under his belt nationally.  He will be a legitimate threat to win it in D3 this year.  Though Wilson has the high school experience and pedigree, we’re going with Swiderski to cement himself onto the scene in his first match.
DAVISON 10, DUNDEE 3

125: James Johnston (Davison) vs Jonathon White (Dundee)
Similar matchup to 119 but the opposite way.  Johnston, a top-ten freshman, taking on White, a 3rd-place finisher from a year ago.  White did have some inconsistencies last season, so that gives some pause to pick him here.  As previously stated, Johnston is a very good young guy and we think Coach Hall gets him ready to go for the upset here.
DAVISON 13, DUNDEE 3

130: AJ Facundo (Davison) vs Christian Killion (Dundee)
The recent Notre Dame College commit and 2x D1 State Champ AJ Facundo will likely roll out at 130 for the opening week.  He’ll have a tougher matchup than most might think with Christian Killion.  Killion was 4th in the state last year as a freshman and beat a bunch of top guys during the year.  Having said that, no way we pick against Facundo here.  Feel good about it being a decision.
DAVISON 16, DUNDEE 3

135: Marc Shaeffer (Davison) vs Stoney Buell (Dundee)
One of last year’s top freshman going against one of this year’s top freshman.  Shaeffer was fantastic in the regular season, only to come up short of making the podium at the Palace.  He rebounded by winning a Cadet Folkstyle title in the spring, though.  For the Vikings, you’ve got to be pumped to get Buell in the lineup.  He’s been one of the best youth guys in the state for pretty much the entirety of his career.  He got a little taste of high school action this summer, but expect him to be a contender in March.  Big toss-up match here, but going with Sheaffer by a point or two.
DAVISON 19, DUNDEE 3

140: Camden Marshall (Davison) vs Grant Ott (Dundee)
Another toss up match between guys looking to break out.  Not a ton of experience in the lineup from Marshall and Ott was sort of a plug-and-play guy last season.  We’ll probably gather some better data on both of them by the end of the year, but for now the safe pick is Ott by decision.
DAVISON 19, DUNDEE 6

145: Alex Facundo (Davison) vs Cal McAvoy (Dundee)
The highly anticipated high school debut for Alex Facundo comes in this dual.  While McAvoy is a formidable foe, Facundo will likely be too much for the Viking junior.  A regional qualifier last season, McAvoy will no doubt have his share of success this year but look for Facundo to pick up bonus in this matchup.
DAVISON 24, DUNDEE 6

152: Jay Nivison (Davison) vs Zach Bellaire (Dundee)
One of the more intriguing matchups of the dual in our opinion.  Nivision was stellar as a freshman, coming within a point of placing.  Bellaire broke out onto the scene winning a state title at 140.  Really this match could go either way and we wouldn’t be shocked with either outcome.  The safe bet is that Bellaire edges Nivison and gets Dundee back in the dual.
DAVISON 24, DUNDEE 9

160: Brian Case (Davison) vs Tylor Orrison (Dundee)
This is as good of an opening night match as you're going to find.  Case has twice finished in the top four in D1.  Orrison has medalled three times, including a state title last year as a junior.  In recent results, Orrison has been more impressive.  Add in the fact that Case took a loss to Dundee's Alex Motylinski last year, and Orrison definitely becomes the safe pick.  However, Case is capable of winning here.  
DAVISON 24, DUNDEE 12

171: Cal Stefanko (Davison) vs Jaxon Guinn (Dundee)
Stefanko is coming off an outstanding sophomore year that saw him place 5th in the state for the Cards.  Guinn came up just shy of making the state tournament, though he is certainly a guy looking to break out for Dundee and add to the firepower up top.  I think Guinn could keep it close early but look for Stefanko to pull away and threaten for bonus.
DAVISON 28, DUNDEE 12

189: Trevor McGowan (Davison) vs Kyle Motylinski (Dundee)
A rematch of last year’s bout which McGowan won 7-3.  Both are looking to make it onto the podium for the first time in 2018.  And while both are ranked in the top eight of their respective divisions, a win here will be a big confidence boost heading into the rest of the season.  Have to go with the previous winner, McGowan, but look for a great match between two good upperweights.
DAVISON 31, DUNDEE 12

215: Gabe Ellis (Davison) vs Kyle Reinhart (Dundee)
Ellis missed last season with an injury but qualified for state two years ago.  Reinhart settled in last year and was a state qualifier for the Vikings.  He’ll likely bounce back and forth between 215 and heavyweight, and really there’s a chance he’s at heavy for this dual.  A year is a long time out, so the pick here is that Ellis will be rounding back into form and shaking off some rust.  Reinhart by decision, but wouldn’t be surprised if Ellis won by the same result.
DAVISON 31, DUNDEE 15

285: Arron Gilmore (Davison) vs Brandon Whitman (Dundee)
Gilmore starts the season as the third-ranked heavyweight in Division 1, coming off a breakout year in which he placed sixth in the state.  That said, Whitman is one of the top guys in the country period.  There’s no one in the state we’d pick over him at this point and really anything less than a pin for the Cards could be considered a win.
DAVISON 31, DUNDEE 21

Swing Matches: 119, 125, 135, 152, 160, 189, 215
On paper, we have Dundee winning four of the swing matches.  To erase the ten point deficit, they’d need to pull out two of the other three swings.

Dundee Keys: Minimize bonus down low, get bonus where you can.  Davison’s lineup is so solid that bonus will be hard to come by.  They’ll need to capitalize if they get in a position to build on their point total.  The only real lineup move would be to slide Killion off of Facundo and move to Shaeffer.  That would slide in Daniel Jaworski, a state qualifier, at 130, and Stoney Buell up to 140.   

Davison Keys: Use momentum to take the swing matches through the middle.  If they get a big lead early, they’ll need to carry that into the ones that are toss-ups on paper.  That’s a very real thing that teammates can feed off of, both positively and negatively.  

D1 #5 Oxford vs D1 #6 Westland John Glenn

103: Ashton Anderson (Oxford) vs Ty Cowan (Westland John Glenn)
Debut match for two freshmen in Anderson and Cowan.  Anderson has the upperhand on paper, with a little more of a pedigree on the youth scene.  He also has the size advantage, being on the bigger end of 103.  Bonus points are in the picture, but Coach Polk’s teams are always tough so Cowan could keep it to a decision.
OXFORD 4, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 0

112: Matthew Curtis (Oxford) vs Ethan Collins (Westland John Glenn)
Curtis was a regional qualifier a season ago at 103 and a match away from qualifying for state.  Collins is stepping into his first full-time starting role for the Rockets.  Have to imagine that the skillset of Curtis overshadows that of Collins and he will be able to roll to another bonus point victory for the Wildcats.
OXFORD 8, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 0

119: Liam Hillary (Oxford) vs Caleb Meekins (Westland John Glenn)
A couple guys looking to breakout this year.  Hillary qualified for regionals two years ago at 103 for Oxford, now up at 119.  Meekins was on fire this offseason after a solid season in 2017.  Although many may not know Meekins yet, if you check his results you know he's a pinner.  It's tough to pick a solid kid like Hillary getting stuck in a dual that has a lot on the line.  Going with Meekins, but not by fall.
OXFORD 8, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 4

125: Daltan Myers (Oxford) vs Kyle Borthwell (Westland John Glenn)
Myers has had a lot of success over the past couple seasons and has made it to the state tourney twice. Borthwell has also made it to the state tourney but came away with a fourth-place and a fifth-place medal.  Both Myers and Borthwell could be weighed in at 119 as well, so we could see this matchup there also.
OXFORD 8, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 8

130: Shane Moore/Joe Good (Oxford) vs Mike Mars (Westland John Glenn)
Not sure who’s going to get the nod here but either one will have their hands full with the 2x State Champ Mars.  Mars may weigh in at 125 but don’t see how he wrestles there in this dual.  Gotta figure Mars gets the fall here, possibly by cradle.
OXFORD 8, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 14

135: Sergio Borg (Oxford) vs Isaac Lefler (Westland John Glenn)
Will Mars be here and Lefler at 130?  It’s possible.  Lefler is a very solid guy for Glenn and has the potential to pull the upset.  However, Borg’s a great 135 for the Wildcats, having already placed twice at the state tourney.  He’s our pick to win this matchup that could end up being the match of the dual.
OXFORD 11, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 14

140: Joe Vackaro (Oxford) vs Brandon McCollum (Westland John Glenn)
This is a toss-up match on paper.  Vackaro was a regional qualifier last year with a record around the .500 range (Oxford does wrestle a tough schedule, so the record part is pretty moot).  McCollum racked up 30 wins but didn’t enter the postseason.  Vackaro is the pick, by decision, but obviously this could go either way.
OXFORD 14, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 14

145: Ryan Miller (Oxford) vs Anthony Gibson (Westland John Glenn)
Like Borg/Lefler, this is a great matchup for this dual.  Miller earned his first all-state honor last year, placing 7th at 140.  Gibson was a state finalist at 135 in his junior campaign.  We could see Gibson at 140 but this match seems like the sensible one to make.  And having said that, Gibson has the nod heading into it.  Expect a great match between two quality seniors.
OXFORD 14, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 17

152: Trent Myre (Oxford) vs Brenten Polk (Westland John Glenn)
This takes us into the strongest stretch in the lineup for the Wildcats.  Myre had a huge sophomore year and qualified for the state tournament.  Polk has experience in the lineup but nowhere near that of Myre.  If you’re Oxford, you need the bonus here.  Look for Myre by major.
OXFORD 18, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 17

160: Caleb Tabert (Oxford) vs Justin Morrison (Westland John Glenn)
An almost identical match to 152.  A junior state qualifier in Tabert looking to pick up bonus over Morrison, a tough kid with some lineup experience.  Have to think it’s going to be a similar result, and the more bonus the better for Coach Wingert’s squad.
OXFORD 22, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 17

171: Devin Trevino (Oxford) vs Chase Kersten (Westland John Glenn)
These two wrestled last season with Trevino winning by fall.  Kersten was pretty active throughout the offseason so he could have made a significant jump.  Trevino hasn’t really been a huge pinner in his career, but you do have to consider him the heavy favorite here.  Got him by major to extend the Wildcats lead.
OXFORD 26, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 17

189: Thomas Wandrie (Oxford) vs George Schwemle (Westland John Glenn)
A toss-up here between Wandrie and Schwemle who’ve both spot started in their careers.  It’s kind of a must win for either squad if the lineups and projected results stand.  Both have had their share of success, but we’re going with Wandrie to edge Schwemle by decision.  
OXFORD 29, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 17

215: Austin Schlict (Oxford) vs Lional Cornish (Westland John Glenn)
Schlict could get the nod here for the Wildcats and take on sophomore state qualifier Lional Cornish.  Cornish burst onto the scene late last year as the biggest freshman state qualifier in D1.  He’s the favorite here, but Schlicht did go 18-7 last year in limited action.  Look for Cornish to pick up bonus for the Rockets.
OXFORD 29, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 21

285: Brennan Mielnicki (Oxford) vs Donald Farris (Westland John Glenn)
The freshman Mielnciki will have a tough test in his Wildcat debut as he faces Donald Farris.  Farris saw limited action last year but his win over last year’s D1 5th placer popped him into the preseason top-10.  Experience is critical at heavyweight, but strength even moreso, and you’ve got to imagine the senior has the edge there.  
OXFORD 29, WESTLAND JOHN GLENN 27

Swing Matches: 135, 140, 145, 189.  Where guys weigh in could affect these.  Oxford has three of them on paper.  Turn one around and it’s the Rockets’ dual to lose.

Oxford Keys: Get the coin toss to keep Borg on Lefler.  They need this matchup to happen.  If Lefler is at 130 and Mars is up at 135, you might bump Borg to 140 (Unless Gibson is there) and slide Vackaro-Wandrie up a weight.  That gives you bonus at 140, and keeps all the other matches winnable up top.  Or go head-to-head with Mars and hope the size advantage is enough.

Westland John Glenn Keys: Hammers need to get big points.  Meekins, Borthwell, Mars, Lefler, and Gibson need to pick up as many as possible assuming they’ll be in the position to do so.  Also the middle weights need to limit bonus points.  If Oxford starts pinning through the middle, it crushes their chances at a mild upset.